My Breakdown of the 13 Keys - June Update : r/fivethirtyeight
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. My Breakdown of the 13 Keys - June Update. We're now in June and here's how the 13 Keys stand from my perspective... Party Mandate - The incumbent party lost seats in the previous midterms, so this key is FALSE.
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Welcome to the Weekly Polling Megathread, your repository for all news stories of the best of the rest polls. The top 25 pollsters by the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings are allowed to be posted as their own separate discussion thread. Currently the top 25 are: Rank. Pollster.
My half-serious model to predict the 2024 Presidential Elections
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online Quinnipiac National Poll: Biden-Trump Matchup Margin Razor Thin With Nearly 1 In 5 Voters Likely To Change Their Minds, Biden +1 (48/47), +3 (41/38/14/2/2)
538 website redesigned to integrate into ABC News : r/fivethirtyeight
Sep 18, 2023 · Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. 538 website redesigned to integrate into ABC News. Not just redesigned, fivethirtyeight.com is dead and redirects to a vertical on ABC News. And it sucks.
Alternatives to 538 sports models : r/fivethirtyeight - Reddit
Jun 23, 2023 · DARKO has daily box predictions for the NBA, nothing seasonal though. It’s the best all-in-one metric for the NBA and is built off Bayesian box score estimates and RAPM – really nice methodology section. Basketball Index has imo the 2nd best all-in-one metric and use it to make daily, seasonal, and post-season projections. 3.
Is 538 Sports just gone? : r/fivethirtyeight - Reddit
Sep 14, 2023 · Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online G Elliott Morris on Twitter: " The difference between Biden’s margin in the Electoral College tipping point state (likely PA, others possible) and the national popular vote is closer to 1.5 points in our forecast ...
538 drops Rasmussen Reports from its analysis : r/fivethirtyeight
Mar 8, 2024 · Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. 538 drops Rasmussen Reports from its analysis. Oh this is why Biden's approval suddenly dropped over the last week on the aggregate for 538; I noticed Rasmussen being gone from the latest polls for approval and I guess I know why.
Let's Talk Elections Releases Initial Forecast Map For 2024
Mar 1, 2024 · FiveThirtyEight. Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. 20K Members. 45 Online. Top 4% Rank by size. r/fivethirtyeight. Trump continues to underperform his polling margin, this time by ~15% in Michigan. 176 upvotes · 64 comments.
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Pollster ratings, Silver Bulletin style : r/fivethirtyeight - Reddit
Pollster ratings, Silver Bulletin style. Genuinely surprised that Nate is sticking with a B-rating for Rasmussen given their recent trending towards hard-R bias. Bias and rating are two different metrics. Rasmussen is one of the best pollsters when polls overfavor democrats, and one of the worst when polls overfavor republicans.