These charts show how our forecast has changed over the course of the night. As a rule, when the electoral vote estimate is ...

An unexpected winner emerged from the 2024 U.S. presidential race: Election betting. Traders have been glued to prices of election contracts on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. Activity surged ...

The so-called "Nostradamus" of U.S. elections has admitted he was wrong after predicting Kamala Harris would win the keys to ...

Ahead of the United States presidential elections on Tuesday, public opinion polls had ... in their calculations – about 4 percent in many cases. That means that their predictions could be off by 4 ...

Presidential historian Allan Lichtman details why his prediction that Vice President Kamala Harris would defeat President-elect Donald Trump in the race for the White House was incorrect.

He also criticized Nate Silver's polling-based prediction model, suggesting it relied heavily on chance. Allan Lichtman, the ...

Looking at the headlines this week, it might seem like there was only one story – the re-election of Donald Trump, who defied ...

Read more about Cryptonews French regulator Autorite Nationale des Jeux (better known as the National Gambling Authority) is ...

There are different metrics for when a president has officially won the contest. Polymarket allowed bettors to continue ...

Discover factors behind the rising importance of Bitcoin and cryptocurrency in the election and how it may shape the future ...

Based on the average Election Day to Inauguration Day change when, like this year, the year-to-date interest rate trend was down on Election Day, we should expect an 0.84% in the T-bill rate between ...

"You know, most presidential elections aren't." Thiel ... "But I think one side is simply going to collapse in the next two ...